Scientific Papers for Climate Models [Chaotic Behavior] Climate Models Chaotic Behavior Overcoming Chaotic Behavior of Climate Models 16-Jun-11 S. Fred Singer and Christopher Walter Monckton of Brenchley Abstract: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC: Meehl et al., 2001) acknowledges that, mathematically speaking, the climate is a complex, non-linear, chaotic object and that, therefore, the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible. The parameters describing the model's initial state must be known to a precision that is unattainable in practice. Accordingly, any comparison of modeled with observed temperature trends cannot be done satisfactorily without an understanding of the chaoticity of a climate model. A synthetic experiment, using two distinct procedures, demonstrates that no fewer than about 20 simulations run on a typical IPCC general-circulation model are a prerequisite for determining useful constraints upon chaos-induced climatic uncertainties.

All Scientific Papers for 2024 2023 2022 2021 2014 2011 2010 2008 2007 Categories    Subcategories Biography  Cork Hayden [1] Climate  Climate Alarm [1]  Climate Change [2]  CO2, IR, and Climate [2]  NIPCC [1]  Omissions [1]  Physics [11] Climate Models  Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) [1]  Chaotic Behavior [1]  Tropospheric Temperatures [1] Himalayan Glaciers  Behaviour and Climate Change [1] IPCC  Definition [2]  Models [3]  Santer-Stocker [1] NIPCC Report  Sea Level Rise [1] Nuclear  Radioactive Waste [1] Temperature Trends  2 degree C [1]  Modeled v. Observed [1]

Free use is granted for non-commercial purposes of all materials on this Website. Acknowledgement would be appreciated. SEPP is funded through the generous contributions of individuals such as yourself. (c) Copyright 2010-2019 Science and Environmental Policy Project